Petraeus as VP?August 7, 2012
This is an off topic post for this blog, but from time to time I like to offer my opinion on elections and politics. For me, the choice between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama is a close one – on the one hand, Romney has the advantage of having demonstrated a managerial and executive competency which the economic policy side needs (and which, sadly, Obama has not delivered). On the other hand, it would be charitable to characterize Romney as merely “weak” on foreign policy and defense, realms where the Obama administration has performed well. On this blog, I focus on my two main areas of interest – energy and geopolitics. While I am not terribly impressed with either candidate, I give Romney the edge on energy (on the assumption that he will favor a better regulatory environment for maximizing our carbon resources), but I give Obama the edge on geopolitics. For that reason, reports to day that Romney may choose General Petraeus as his running mate might be a tie breaker in my own decision. However, I have been looking at the electoral college map for months (and studying electoral geography for years), and I don’t see many avenues by which Romney can win the required 270 electoral votes. Although it has weakened, the Democrats retain their structural electoral advantage that they began building in the middle of the last decade. Romneys best chance to win, it seems to me, would be to select Senator Marco Rubio as his running mate, enhancing his chances of winning Florida (without which there is virtually no path to electoral victory), and possibly taking just enough of the national Hispanic vote to tip one or more of the key western states – Nevada, New Mexico, or Colorado – to the Republican side of the ledger. While Rubio would not make the Republican any more appealing to me personally, I do think it is the only choice that would give give them an outside shot at victory.