Posts Tagged ‘energy policy’

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The staggering renewable power industry

February 22, 2012

One after another, large scale renewable energy firms are declaring bankruptcy – Solyndra, Evergreen Solar, and RangeFuels are among the highest profile casualties.  In December, BP, which had been an industry leader for decades, declared that it was dropping its solar power division, which had once been envisioned as a future profit center.  The fact of the matter is that alternative energy sources are not technologically advanced enough to survive in a marketplace without large government subsidies, and the current global financial climate cannot support such subsidies.  The overall energy profile of fossil fuels remains superior to any alternative, as they hold unsurpassed superiority in what I call the 3 Ps:  Price, Portability, and Potency.  A ton of coal or its equivalent in petroleum or natural gas can bring more energy to bear with more versatility than any existing competitor.  Nuclear can bring more potency, but the regulatory hurdles surrounding nuclear have prevented construction of a new plant in the US in decades.

The demand for energy is only growing, and there is no feasible recourse except fossil fuels to meet that demand.  We can either be serious about finding environmental mitigation for fossil fuel use, or we can freeze in the dark.  You know we aren’t going to choose the latter, so let’s drop the ideological stances (on both sides) and finally get serious about energy.

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BP projects North American energy self-sufficiency by 2030

January 25, 2012

BP has published its second version of Energy Outlook 2030.  It presents a very favorable global energy picture over the next few decades – despite a continued reliance on fossil fuels.  While BP does foresee a growing use of renewable resources, the biggest changes in the future energy outlook are (1) increasing efficiencies in energy use and (2) the massive reserves of unconventional resources that new technology has made economically feasible.  At first glance, this might seem to be a repudiation of the very rationale for this blog – the singular importance of energy as a geopolitical driver over the next quarter century.  However, I contend that is quite the opposite.  It is likely that only the US and Canada among developed and rapidly developing nations will enjoy security of supply (an argument that I have been making since before I began this blog), and that security combined with the relative insecurity of other nations will allow the United States to use both its resources and its growing geostrategic military reach to maintain its lead position on the world stage for the foreseeable future.

However, there is a glaring omission in BP’s projections:  there is little attention paid to the impact of growing (even if decelerating)  fossil fuel use on global warming.   However, it is my belief that growing supply could very well outstrip growing demand over this time frame, which would cause prices to fall.  That would leave room for carbon taxes, the revenues from which should be diverted to mitigation efforts.   The latter will be a hard sell – there are entrenched interests on both sides that will fight it (from the right, carbon taxes are anathema while forces on the green left are hostile to a  geo-engineering approach), but as water seeks its own level, so, too, do obvious policy choices.

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Climate and Energy: Where is the tipping point?

December 5, 2011

The International Energy Agency’s 2011 World Energy Outlook was released last month, and it was a gloomy report.  This is primarily because the IEA has accepted the notion that global warming must be contained to an increase of 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, and that this cannot be done if CO2 reaches a level beyond 450 part per million (PPM) in the atmosphere.  The IEA reports that 80% of the 450ppm level is already “locked in” to the equation because of existing infrastructure, and that the world will likely use up the remaining balance within 5 or 6 years, primarily because of the heavy use of coal by developing nations, especially China.  Basically, according to this report, the CO2 gate is closing faster than the carbon-fueled global economy can adapt, and there is scant evidence of the existence of the political will necessarily to change things in a hurry.  The race is all but lost.

Or is it?  What if the 450PPM model is incorrect?  A new article in the journal Science indicates that this might be the case; that the +2 degree tipping point might not occur short of concentrations of 600PPM or even greater.   This would mean that the world has more time to achieve growth through a fossil fuel economy, while at the same time developing more efficient technologies for burning coal or for capturing and sequestering or utilizing carbon emissions.  Bringing vast amounts of cheap shale gas to market to substitute for coal would buy even more time.  The crisis, it seems, is not imminent at all.

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Methanol powered cars

December 2, 2011

Bob Zubrin describes how, with a few minor modifications that cost less than a dollar, he modified a 2007 Chevy Cobalt to run on 100% methanol fuel.  On methanol, he was able to achieve over 24 miles per gallon in the vehicle.

This is a big deal because methanol can be made from American sourced raw materials – biomass or the massive US reserves of natural gas and coal.  Also, methanol is a high octane fuel (109, much higher than the normal choices of 87, 89 and 91 at most gas stations and higher even than the “high performance” 100 octane gasoline available at a few), and it is thus both more efficient and produces more horsepower.

Zubrin has long been a champion of an open fuel standard – let the market decide which fuel is best, not politicians and regulators.  An open fuel standard would not only put us on the path to energy independence, it would also help jump start the economy.

Read the whole thing.

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US to begin shale gas exports to Europe

November 9, 2011

Yadullah Hussain, writing for Canada’s Financial Post, states what we at EGP have been saying for years:  The US is poised to experience a fossil energy boom that could reverse its status as a net importer and turn it into a major exporter of energy.  Hussain reports that:

Britain’s BG Group has become the first company to export liquefied natural gas from the United States, inking a landmark US$8-billion deal with Cheniere Energy, shows how the American North Eastern shale gas revolution could not only allow the U.S. to meet much of its energy needs domestically, but also turn into a strong natural gas exporting powerhouse.

Europe will not be the only destination for gas from the Sabine Pass terminal.  Expansion of the Panama Canal will open the Asian market up to American sourced natural gas as well.

We cannot repeat this often enough in these difficult economic times:  There is a fortune beneath our feet.  Technological advances and increasing prices for conventional fuel has made previously uneconomic resources economically sound, and the US has vast quantities of untapped fossil fuel resources that can revitalize our nation’s finances.   Royalties and leases for sources on public land would flow into state and federal treasuries , as would increased taxes derived from both primary and secondary sources, and the sudden reversal of a balance of trade formula that has been running against for decades would revolutionize the US financial.  There are certainly environmental costs that must be considered, but a serious negotiation between pro-extraction and pro-environmental forces can certainly find a way through this thicket to a bright, energy led American economic future.

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Solar energy the next bubble?

November 7, 2011

Interesting report out of Pennsylvania, not a state one would normally think of as a solar powerhouse, but where a solar energy bubble has bloomed nonetheless.  Because of a state mandate for solar generated power, coupled with a state sponsored tradeable credit scheme, there has been a rush to install solar capacity in PA.  However, that rush has created a glut of solar capacity – nearly 2 times the mandated capacity is now installed.  This has led to a crash in the value of the credits, from $325 per credit at the start of the year to just $25 today.  Without the value of those credits, the installations are not cost effective, and new projects have been halted or abandoned.  One CEO of a Pennsylvania solar company admits “This is an industry that is the next dot-com boom.”

The most distressing part of this report, however, is the proposed solution:  more and extended government subsidies.  Follow the logic:  government mandates and subsidies created a bubble; the bubble deflates rapidly; therefore the government must step in with taxpayer dollars to reinflate the bubble.  It’s the same circular logic that has the national and world economies spiraling the drain.

One definition of insanity is to continue to do the same thing over and over again while expecting a different result each time.

 

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EU energy and climate policies on verge of collapse?

November 3, 2011

The European Union has been on the vanguard of the transition to Green Energy for over two decades.  However, while the monetary union is staggering under the current financial and economic pressures, so too might its climate-energy vision.  Andrew McKillop, writing at the European Energy Review, sees the policy on the verge of chaos and collapse:

At this moment, major political parties in Europe, including some governing parties, are already beginning to distance themselves from the ‘carbon neutral and climate correct’ policy package, due to this rising opposition from the public, trade unions, industrial energy users and analysts. For example, at the annual conference of the UK Conservatives in Manchester in October 2011, the commitment to “carbon neutral and climate correct” policies was notably diluted by major speakers, including the prime minister.

In many countries and in the EU itself climate and energy policies and programmes are already being adjusted or abandoned. This includes the downsizing or cancellation of plans for biofuels production (especially food crop based bioethanol), reduced plans and incentives for massive offshore wind farm development, delays in investments in large-scale electricity grids and interconnections, including so-called smart grid projects, and reduced subsidies and lower feed-in tariffs for solar and wind power.

It is very likely this trend will accelerate as a result of growing political and public opposition, especially in view of the economic crisis. Increasingly, policymakers and the public will come to the conclusion that the EU’s climate and energy package is too ambitious, too expensive, too complex and in the end also ineffective. This could lead to a heavy clash with supporters of the current climate and energy policies, which in turn could result in even worse chaos in the energy market. To avoid such a potentially disastrous situation, it is high time for policymakers to develop a plan B.

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North American energy boom reshapes the world

September 30, 2011

Glenn Reynolds, aka Instapundit, links to NPR story, with additional commentary from Amy Myers Jaffe.

“Wow, I knew it was big, but I had no idea it was that big,” Reynolds notes.

It is immensely big, and I have been hammering on this point for years.  Here is my post from last year, The World is Awash in Oil, that details the vast amount of “unconventional” oil at our potential disposal.  And, that is just oil.  There is also an estimated 750 trillion cubic feet of untapped natural gas in the US.  In the oil and gas industries, there is something called the McKelvey Box, which breaks the carbon resources into different sections – discovered, assumed but undiscovered; economically recoverable, sub-economic, and non-economic.  Vast amounts of carbon resources that were once in the “sub-economic” or “non-economic” boxes have been unlocked by the technological revolution of the last few years.  There are now several centuries worth of fossil fuel resources available to us – I have taken to calling this the Shale Age or, when you consider the near-to-fruition of economically viable coal- and gas-to-liquid fuel, the Second Age of Oil.  And, with the proper set of policies, the US is in position to be – at once – the worlds greatest producer and consumer of fossil fuels - as well as the top and exporter of value-added, finished petroleum based products.   Simply being energy independent would wipe out much of our trade deficit; the exports of fuel and other petroleum products would put us decisively in the black.  And the money flowing into local, state and federal treasuries from taxes, leases and royalty payments would go a long way to solving the debt crisis.

The moment is upon us to save ourselves.  To borrow a phrase – We are the Ones We have been waiting for.

As a word of caution, Reynolds also notes “The implications here are huge. If I were Russia and Saudi Arabia, I’d be subsidizing U.S. environmental groups in an effort to stop, or at least slow, the process.”

The reply to that, of course, is to take those environmental groups seriously ourselves, and forestall that line of attack.   Ours is an open, democratic system, and environmental groups are powerful, well organized and motivated.  We have to be environmentally conscious in crafting our energy policies – even if you disagree with the environmentalists, then work them if for no other reason than to mollify a powerful constituency that could otherwise derail or slow your efforts.  Our system works well when organized groups bargain with each other and work out a synthesis approach.  Any politics that is based on an assumption that you can simply steamroll the opposition is both sophomoric and doomed to failure.   America, and the world, needs access to the bountiful energy resources within our grasp – but we cannot be so environmentally obtuse that we allow the fortune beneath our feet to go unclaimed.

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Petroleum Association foresees 50% decline in European refinery capacity

September 23, 2011

The European Petroleum Industry Association (EUROPIA)  has issued a new report examining Europe’s energy outlook through the year 2050.  Specifically, the report analyses the various impacts of the EU policy of “decarbonization.”   Although EUROPIA projects a steadily decreasing demand for fossil fuels, they fear that regulatory burdens on the refining and petrochemical industries will cause domestic capacity to decline even faster than demand.  Thus, even though over all demand for imported fuels decreases, the cut in capacity could mean an increased reliance on imports of refined products.

The European Energy Review has published an overview of the study here.   EER summarizes the key concern of EUROPIA:

This means that policies that make it harder for the refinery sector to compete internationally and to survive - in other words, that hasten the natural decline of the sector - will have highly adverse consequences. According to Europai, such policies will make Europe more dependent on highly volatile international oil markets. They will harm the existing oil and distribution marketing system, putting at risk the EU internal market for transport fuels. And they will hurt the petrochemical value chain and other directly linked industries, leading to economic damage and job losses.

This, of course, opens a competitive door for the US.  As the vast supplies of unconventional fossil fuels make North America a leading producer of raw carbons, we should build up our refining capacity in order to supply foreign markets with more value added finished products.   Yet another opportunity for economic growth that the Shale Age opens up for policy makers.

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Is an aging workforce a limiting factor in oil & gas production growth?

September 16, 2011

We wrote yesterday about the National Petroleum Council report that estimates North American oil production could reach 22.5 million barrels per day within 25 years.  Combined with the potential for an 85% increase in natural gas production and possible advancements in coal, it is conceivable that the US – or at least North America combined – could achieve energy independence (or something very close to it) in that time frame, even without a “clean energy” revolution.

These estimates, however, are based primarily on the size of the resource base and the technological ability to expand the commercially viable sub-section of the McKelvey Box:

However, there is another important limiting factor beyond the resource base and the technology to exploit it:  the petrotechnical professionals (PTP) needed to maximize production.  Schlumberger Business Consulting has been tracking the size of this talent base since 2004 and has come to two major conclusions:  (1) PTP talent is an important strategic resource and (2) demographic shifts mean that this talent base is both aging and shrinking.  Thus, in addition to the regulatory reforms outlined by the NPC in their report, we need to seriously engage in Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) programs at the local, state and federal levels.

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GOP bears some responsibility for Solyndra

September 16, 2011

The Solyndra bankruptcy after receiving over $500 million in DOE loan guarantees is fast becoming the first political scandal of the Obama administration.   Republicans are eager to make political hay out of the failure, and they will probably be successful.  The entire situation reeks of worst excesses of crony capitalism.  Yes, there are direct political aspects of administration officials pressuring overseers to approve the loan without full due diligence.  But the loan program itself exists because of a structure put together by the Bush Administration and passed by a Republican controlled Congress.  This Solyndra release touting their receipt of the loan guarantee in 2009 identifies the authority for the loan as Title XVII of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (pdf of act here).    This act was originally criticized by Democrats as unfairly supporting and subsidizing oil and gas companies.  When their party took control of both the White House and Congress, they amended the act to the benefit of their favored energy constituents as part of the massive 2009 stimulus bill (American Reinvestment and Recovery Act).  The Republicans crafted the structure and authority under which this sort of scandal could occur.

The government should not be in the business of picking winners.  This is true regardless of which party has its hands on the controls.  The government’s role is to institute a neutral set of rules and then enforce them, period.  EGP has a clear policy position – eliminate all energy subsidies.  Eliminate all energy taxes except a single Pigovian-type tax which prices in negative externalities (i.e., a carbon tax).  Combine that with a tradeable tax credit that rewards the amelioration of those negative externalities.  Institute open policies which favor no particular energy source and let the market determine which is the cheapest and most efficient.

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North American oil production could reach 22.5 million bpd by 2035

September 15, 2011

With the right mix of regulatory reform and technical advancement, the combined production of oil from conventional, unconventional and offshore oil could reach 22.5 million barrels per day, according to a report prepared for the Department of Energy from National Petroleum Council (pdf of the report here).  Given that 22.5m bpd is the current US daily usage, the NPC does not believe oil shale or oil sands will be enough to wean the US from non-North American imports.

However, increased use and consumption of the vast natural gas deposits in the US alone could make up the much of the difference.  The NPC report demonstrates that North American supplies could meet as much as an 85% increase over current demand:

For that to happen, regulatory reform cannot be limited to enabling the extraction industries.  For example, the sort of Open Fuel regulatory mandate championed by Bob Zubrin would be necessary to pave the way for other liquid fuels to fill the gap.   Finally, with advances in clean coal and coal-to-liquid technologies, the potential for energy independence is possibly within reach within 25 to 35 years, but that independence will come with a price – we will have to institute some form of carbon pricing (EGP supports a direct carbon tax).   A price on carbon has two benefits – on the one hand, it co-opts some of those who would otherwise be opposed to regulatory reforms that enable increased consumption of fossil fuels, while at the same time providing an incentive for investment in cleaner technologies that would enable gas and coal to liquid conversions (which would also ease the exportation of surpluses of these fuels).   Indeed, with the correct regulatory mix that is sensitive to both environmental concerns and energy needs, it is conceivable that the US (or, at least, USA/Canada combined) could at once become the world’s largest consumer, producer and exporter of energy before mid century.

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EU Energy Commissioner seeks control over individual states’ energy policies

September 13, 2011

From European Energy Review (registration required):

For the first time, Brussels is taking concrete steps to wrest control of external energy policy from the EU member states. To begin with, the European Commisson wants to monitor all intergovernmental energy deals between EU member states and third countries. In the longer term, it wants to be allowed to negotiate energy deals on behalf of the EU. The proposals come at a sensitive time in the history of the European Union.

‘When you see that some 60% of natural gas is imported from third countries and as far as oil is concerned 80%… it’s perfectly clear that the success of any energy policy is dependent upon a successful common external energy policy on the part of the EU,’ EU Energy Commissioner Günther Oettinger told journalists in Brussels last Wednesday when he unveiled his plans for a new external energy policy for Europe. ‘If we speak with one voice’, he added, ‘I think we’ve got a completely different weight [in negotiations].’

“A sensitive time in the history of the European Union” really soft peddles the current situation.    Oettinger’s proposal makes sense – a purchasers consortium can bargain for better prices based on volume – and a concerted European approach could take some of the potency out of Russia’s “energy weapon.”   The timing, however, is unfortunate.  Statism in general and the EU’s particular brand of it are teetering concepts.

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Analysis shows how to lubricate jobs machine with oil and gas

September 7, 2011

New report by Wood MacKenzie for the American Petroleum Institute quantifies what we have been writing all summer long.

Wood MacKenzie’s analysis found that US policies which encourage the development of new and existing resources could, by 2030, increase domestic oil and natural gas production by over 10 billion boed (barrels of oil equivalent per day), support an additional 1.4 million jobs, and raise over $800 billion of cumulative additional government revenue.

If anything, I think this report under-reports the amount of revenue available, which could ultimately run into the trillions of dollars.  Three years ago, the bipartisan NEED Act (which failed to gain any traction) estimated that opening up US energy resources would send as much as $2.6 trillion into government treasuries.

Here are a couple of key charts and tables from the Wood MacKenzie report to think about while you are listening to President Obama’s job speech.  Let’s hope he talks about energy tonight.  The fortune beneath our feat is the best way out of our current box.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Obama cancels proposed EPA ozone regulations

September 2, 2011

Given the state of employment in the nation today – and the way it acts as a noose slowly strangling his re-election chances – this was probably the only decision he could make.

Watch for him to soon endorse the State Department decision on the Keystone XL pipeline, perhaps as part of his much anticipated address to Congress next week.

As I have posted before (for example, here, here and here), I believe that unleashing the fortune beneath America’s feet – the massive energy reserves of our continent’s fossil fuel storehouse – is the surest bet to reviving the economy.  Unlike other pro-energy boosters, however, I actually do believe that the environmental lobby makes many sound points, that they are a powerful and important (and well organized) constituency, and that, at some point, they are going to have to be paid back for these decisions.

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Jon Huntsman’s New Jobs Plan is Big on Energy

August 31, 2011

The centerpiece to Huntsman’s policy proposal is his massive overhaul of the tax system, eliminating most tax breaks (including some extremely popular ones) in exchange for drastically lower rates of  8%, 14% and 23% (plus a drop of the corporate rate to 25% and a scheme to repatriate foreign earnings).  As James Pethokoukis notes, this plan “looks like perhaps the most pro-growth, pro-market (and anti-crony capitalist) tax plan put forward by a major U.S. president candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1980.”

Although tax policy is the aspect that will garner the most attention, Huntsman also focuses on liberating America’s vast untapped energy sources, including shale oil (and, as former governor of Utah, he probably has more detailed knowledge about the pros, cons and roadblocks of that potential resource than anyone in the field).

Personally, I think you have to pass a carbon tax to go along with this in order to narrow the significant political opposition it will face.  A carbon tax that includes tradeable tax credits for various activities that reduce CO2 would be both a political and financial boon for fossil energy advocates, IMO.

Disclosure:   I have contributed financially to Huntsman’s campaign and he is my first choice for the GOP nomination, even though I am not a registered member of the party.  Yes, I am the guy who gets him to 1% in the polls.   (FWIW, my second choice, is Gary Johnson, showing you just how far out of the Republican mainstream I reside)

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More Trenchant Energy Questions for the President

August 24, 2011

I really enjoy Peter Kirsanow’s daily series of Questions for the President at National Review.  Look for them daily at The Corner.  I will highlight his energy and geopolitics related questions from time to time.  From Today’s Questions:

The EPA is in the process of issuing  new emissions rules affecting coal-fired power plants, which rules will cause one-fifth of such plants to shut down.

The U.S. imports nearly 65 percent of its oil — more than 4 billion barrels a year at a cost of approximately $440 billion. Imported oil accounts for 62 percent of the U.S. trade deficit. In recognition of those facts, you gave a speech a few months ago about moving the nation toward energy independence. You set a goal of reducing oil imports by one-third over the next decade by “finding and producing more oil at home, and reducing dependence on oil with cleaner alternate fuels and greater efficiency.” Among the alternate fuels you cited was natural gas.

Yet, despite your speech:

  • You continue to oppose drilling in several regions in Alaska, including ANWR — estimated to hold 10.4 billion barrels of oil.
  • As reported by Robert Bluey, deepwater oil drilling permits are down 71 percent from their historical average.
  • Your administration has canceled or stalled the development of oil shale leases in the mountain west.
  • Shell Oil canceled plans to drill for an estimated 27 billion barrels of oil off the Alaskan coast after the EPA denied a permit.
  • No new construction of nuclear power plants has begun in 30 years.
  • As reported by Kevin Mooney, ten oil rigs have left the Gulf of Mexico since you imposed the deepwater drilling moratorium and 8 other planned rigs were moved elsewhere (i.e., the coasts of Africa, South America).
  • The shut down of coal-fired plants noted above will add tens of billions to energy costs and the Commerce Department estimates tens of thousands of jobs will be lost.

Follow the link to read the questions that follow from this set up.

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Michelle Bachman vs. Christopher Mims on $2 gas – they are both wrong

August 19, 2011

Michelle Bachman made news this week when she pledged that US gasoline prices will drop below $2 if she is elected president.  Bachman did not give any details on how she plans to accomplish this, but it probably centers on maximizing existing US fossil fuel resources in both conventional and unconventional reserves.  This would mean opening the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and the Outer Continental Shelf to exploration and re-opening the Gulf of Mexico for new production, as well as clearing regulatory hurdles for increased coal and shale oil production.

Christopher Mims, writing for the rabidly anti-oil Grist, correctly assumes that Bachman is talking about shale oil (although he is incorrectly reductionist in believing this is all she is talking about).  Mims is also correct that shale oil has been the Next Big Thing in fossil fuels for decades, always available but never economically feasible to extract.  He is wrong, however, in his belief that shale oil will always be out of economic reach.  The fact of the matter is that the technologies that have led to the shale gas revolution – especially horizontal drilling – have been profitably turned to shale oil, and numerous shale fields are already producing oil.  The Bakken field has been instrumental in the economic boom of North Dakota, and other plays like Eagle Ford and Permian Basin are having similar impact.  Mims’ entire analysis of the feasibility of shale oil is out of date.

That, however, does not make Bachman’s “$2 per gallon” assertion correct.  It is still more expensive to produce oil from shale formations than it is to pump conventional oil, and it is not at all clear whether $2 gas can support it, without subsidies (which, if Bachman is to be consistent with the broader Tea Party philosophy, she cannot endorse).  Also, the currently exploited shale oil reserves are the “low hanging fruit” of the kerogen tree.  These plays are terrific for local economies, but they do not represent the kind of massive reserves that would be game-changing.  The game changer is the Eocene Green River Formation in Utah and Colorado, which contains an estimated 1.3 trillion barrels of oil, most of the estimated shale reserves in the US.  If – and that is a big if – this formation can be fully developed, then yes, we would see a collapse in oil prices and probably an era of sub $2 gasoline.  However, this formation has unique factors, not the least of which are ecological and environmental – it is an area of immense scenic beauty that will prove politically difficult to despoil for petroleum.

If Bachman thinks that she, or any president, can simply ignore the concerns of organized and opposing political factions, then she is deluded.   A grand bargain will have to be worked out if the US is to maximize its shale resources.  I believe that this will have to include some form of a carbon tax .   You cannot just wish your opponents away in a democratic republic.  You have to give something to get something.   If the oil crowd wants shale, they have to give something to the environmental crowd.   If the Greens want taxes on carbon emissions, they have to give something to the development crowd.  Quid pro quo, everybody wins.  But, until that happens, there is no $2 gas on the horizon.

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It’s not too late for an energy led recovery

August 8, 2011

In a wide ranging interview with Reuters today, Gluskin Sheff lead economist Dave Rosenberg laments the failure of pursuing a shale-gas dominated energy policy for the last two and a half years.

Q:  What can be done now?
A:  On the fiscal side, it’s too late. Nothing on the fiscal side will help the economy.

Q:  What should have been done?
A:  What would have helped is a real energy policy combined with a jobs policy.

Q:  What happened to real energy policy?                                                                                                                                         A:  If we had a permanent shift to shale gas, that would have helped the economy. We thought we weren’t going to see gas prices go back up into the $100s, but they did. Gas prices and oil prices have gone back up. A permanent decrease in energy costs would be really beneficial and help the bottom line in Washington.

It is the opinion here at EGP that it is not too late.  As we have written time and again, there is a fortune beneath our feet.  There are more than a trillion dollars in revenue available to the government from leases and royalties, let alone taxes, from unleashing our fossil fuel wealth.   On the Democratic side, it is going to require courage to take on the powerful anti-fossil fuel wing of the environmental movement.   The GOP can help them do so by offering up something on CO2 reduction, like a carbon tax (which would have to be coupled with an end to both subsidies and fuel taxes).  Give something to get something – which is the essence of politics.

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